Unfortunately not that kind of bad news. Rather... well let me start at the beginning.
Conventional SCOTUS watch wisdom has the vote on Obamacare being 6-3 to strike down the individual mandate or 5-4 striking down the law as a whole if the SCOTUS rules the law cannot stand without the individual mandate.
However, this morning I heard Jake Tapper being interviewed on the Imus show. Now Mr Tapper, while not hard to look at, is no rocket scientist by any stretch of the imagination. I'd find myself asking him to move heavy furniture before asking him to do any heavy thinking; he's not going to be seen at any Mensa meetings anytime soon. During the interview he predicted that his take on the vote would be 6-3 in favor of upholding the law. Which intrigued me until he explained why he thought that way... then I laughed so hard I almost choked. He said Kennedy would vote with the majority (meaning the liberals) because he was worried about his legacy as a moderate and didn't want to be remembered for siding with conservatives on such an important vote. The other vote would be Roberts concerned with his legacy and not wanting to maintain his judicial conservatism. Indicating that Kennedy is about ready to retire and this may be his last big case, and a vote against Obamacare would brand Roberts as a judicial activist.
Considering that this is coming from Jake Tapper I am not surprised he is once again so off the reservation there is a bounty on him. However, as I wrote up something about this on another site where I've been hanging out, it occurred to em that Tapper is well liked by Obama. And it occurred to me that Obama's people on the inside (clerks for Sotomayor, Kagen an perhaps Ginsberg) may already know the results and are letting it slip a few days early so their friends in the media can make predictions that will be proven correct in a few days. Being right about these things are what makes the next Tim Russert or Walter Cronkite, then they will be in a position to control the narrative in the news.
I certainly hope not, I really hope I'm wrong on this. I hope the individual mandate is struck down, or even the whole law being found unconstitutional. I believe it may even be a 6-3 decision in that direction despite the odds makers saying Kennedy will be the deciding vote. But that Tapper would make such a statement backed up with such moronic reasoning makes me think that it is more than just leftard hopes and dreams, but he knows something he is not supposed to know.
No comments:
Post a Comment